GEMs Consortium Issues More Granular Data; Critics Seek More Transparency
The Global Emerging Markets Risk Database (GEMs) Consortium Oct. 15 reported on country-by-country loan default and recovery rates for the first time, but the Consortium has still not met the key transparency demand: making the database accessible. The new data was called insufficient by critics in the private and nonprofit sector who say that issuance of more detailed information is necessary...
Private Sector Observers Seek More Information From GEMs Database
Partially lifting the lid on a “treasure trove” of international economic data has not dampened interest in getting a closer look inside, but the crystal ball for the future is hazy. The valued data in question is known by the acronym GEMs. There’s information from 26 development finance institutions covering 20,000 contracts over 30 years. GEMs is run by a consortium...
Major MDBs Have Rating Headroom for USD480 Billion in New Lending
Major multilateral development banks (MDBs) could increase lending by nearly USD480 billion collectively before the decline in capital positions would lead to downgrades, Fitch Ratings says in a new report. Fitch does not expect MDBs to use their lending headroom in full. We assessed how much lending would be consistent with unchanged ratings for each of the 12 largest Fitch-rated MDBs,...
Quantifying Preferred Creditor Treatment by Rating Grade
The business models of Multilateral Development Banks (MDBs) depend crucially on Preferred Creditor Treatment (PCT). PCT refers to the de facto seniority that financially distressed sovereigns accord to MDBs from which they have borrowed. In an earlier paper, Risk Control (2022), we showed, in a matched sample, that the Probability of Default (PD) of MDB sovereign loans is substantially less than...
NDC Investment Summit SMIAC Investable Asset Classes Working Group

